50th Anniversary Keynote: Barry L. Nelson
Walter P Murphy
Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering & Management Sciences
WSC 2067: What Are The Chances?
At the November 1967 “Conference on the Applications of Simulation Using GPSS” it seems unlikely that anyone was wondering if the conference would still be occupying a big hotel in 2017. Conferences persist for many reasons, but a technical conference like WSC has to remain relevant to users, vendors, researchers and consumers (not just hotels) to survive. If our kind of simulation vanished, then so (eventually) would WSC. What is required for simulation to “remain relevant” for the next 50 years? Without fear of having to answer for my crimes in 2067, I boldly speculate on what SHOULD matter for the next 10-20 years, if not the next 50, with a focus on our strength: dealing with uncertainty.
50th Anniversary Titans
Robert G. Sargent
Professor Emeritus – Syracuse University
A Prospective on Fifty-Five Years of the Evolution of Scientific Respect for Simulation
This presentation will give a personal perspective on the evolution of how simulation moved from the image of being a “brute force programming effort” and a “method of last resort” in the 1960s, 70s, and 80s to today’s status where simulation enjoys “considerable scientific respect” and is often the “method of choice.”
Bernard P. Zeigler
Professor Emeritus of Electrical and Computer Engineering – University of Arizona
Why Should We Develop Simulation Models in Pairs?
The conventional approach to model construction for simulation is to focus on a single model and follow a more or less structured development cycle. Why we put in twice the time and effort to develop two models rather than one? The answer lies in the fact that like most greedy heuristics, short-sightedness at the beginning may be much more costly in the end. This talk will champion the cause of the pairs-of-models (perhaps families of models) with discussion of multiresolution modeling. We show how the pair-of-models approach leads to be better results overall than construction of a complex model followed by a simpler model developed subsequently by necessity under stress when complexity overwhelms. Benefits include the ability to perform mutual cross-calibration, avoiding the usual difficulties in harmonization of the underlying ontologies as well as ability to better reconcile and correlate predictions of referent system outcomes.
Professor, Ecole des Mines de Saint-Etienne
Achievements and Lessons Learned from a Long-term Academic-Industrial Collaboration
Associate Professor, Professor of Computer Engineering at the Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT)
Military Simulation: A Ubiquitous Future
The Department of Defense uses Modeling and Simulation to support a variety of activities ranging from engineering to theater-level analytical studies, training, strategy evaluation and test. This talk presents some of the current challenges, research directions and promising opportunities to further exploit this powerful tool to understand complex system dynamics and predict performance.
History of Simulation Keynote
Professor, Bournemouth University, Faculty of Management.